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Red67
440819.4
448218.6
445327.9
Blue62
522713.3
613814.9
8538.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515630406070806762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.91.3
20.421.7
Auto6.8
Teleop15.0
End6.1
blue by 10.9
85
#1
38.80.2
29.529.3
Auto9.3
Teleop24.6
End5.0
Second
4408
#21
19.41.3
12.513.8
Auto0.9
Teleop13.8
End4.7
red by 4.5
6138
#40
14.90.2
12.212.0
Auto2.5
Teleop10.3
End2.1
Third
4482
#26
18.61.3
17.318.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.5
red by 5.2
5227
#36
13.30.2
12.212.0
Auto0.6
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed