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Red82
365826.9
604322.2
598032.1
Blue59
567416.1
515222.8
519424.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5467204060801001208259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5980
#10
32.13.1
18.521.6
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End7.2
red by 7.7
24.41.1
20.319.2
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End3.8
Second
3658
#17
26.91.9
20.222.1
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End3.7
red by 4.1
5152
#25
22.81.1
23.522.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
Third
6043
#15
22.23.1
15.418.5
Auto2.6
Teleop16.2
End3.3
red by 6.1
5674
#29
16.11.1
19.718.7
Auto1.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed