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Red46
546220.7
438129.0
125414.9
Blue44
522713.3
601115.2
365826.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64452040801004644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.01.4
27.225.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End3.6
red by 2.0
3658
#17
26.90.2
23.723.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End3.7
Second
5462
#18
20.70.9
18.217.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.3
End3.9
red by 5.5
6011
#39
15.20.3
10.29.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.9
End2.4
Third
1254
#28
14.91.4
14.212.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.2
red by 1.5
5227
#36
13.30.3
13.012.7
Auto0.6
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed