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Red57
436816.9
519424.4
107627.7
Blue54
515222.8
550122.6
520419.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59562040801005754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.5
22.221.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End4.4
red by 4.9
5152
#25
22.80.6
22.221.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
Second
24.40.5
20.820.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End3.8
red by 1.8
5501
#37
22.60.6
15.314.7
Auto2.9
Teleop14.6
End5.0
Third
4368
#22
16.90.5
13.513.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.5
End2.0
blue by 2.2
5204
#30
19.10.6
17.116.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed