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Red52
568516.8
611916.6
546220.7
Blue55
60539.3
519424.4
365632.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436902060801001205255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5462
#18
20.70.4
17.317.7
Auto7.6
Teleop9.3
End3.9
blue by 12.2
32.90.6
33.332.7
Auto9.9
Teleop17.5
End5.5
Second
5685
#31
16.80.6
14.014.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End3.6
blue by 7.6
24.40.8
20.319.5
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End3.8
Third
6119
#27
16.60.6
14.515.1
Auto1.9
Teleop12.0
End2.8
red by 7.3
6053
#38
9.30.8
9.78.9
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed