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Red70
613814.9
107627.7
550122.6
Blue73
438129.0
522713.3
261125.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48660204060801007073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.5
21.823.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End4.4
blue by 1.3
29.00.2
25.825.9
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End3.6
Second
5501
#37
22.61.5
14.716.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.6
End5.0
blue by 3.1
2611
#14
25.70.2
22.823.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.1
End4.4
Third
6138
#40
14.91.5
13.214.6
Auto2.5
Teleop10.3
End2.1
red by 1.5
5227
#36
13.30.2
12.712.9
Auto0.6
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed