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Red60
601115.2
548624.1
448218.6
Blue62
83023.4
620819.5
515222.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466102040801006062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5486
#23
24.11.2
21.823.1
Auto4.7
Teleop14.4
End5.0
red by 0.7
830
#24
23.40.0
18.218.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End5.0
Second
4482
#26
18.61.2
15.316.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.5
blue by 4.2
5152
#25
22.80.0
21.621.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
Third
6011
#39
15.21.2
9.911.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.9
End2.4
blue by 4.3
6208
#20
19.50.0
16.816.9
Auto6.5
Teleop8.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned21%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed