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Red83
519424.4
283440.4
600231.5
Blue50
440819.4
365826.9
546220.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6045020801001208350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.42.4
26.028.4
Auto10.1
Teleop23.0
End7.2
red by 13.5
3658
#17
26.90.3
18.418.6
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End3.7
Second
6002
#11
31.52.4
15.417.8
Auto8.2
Teleop19.7
End3.6
red by 10.8
5462
#18
20.70.3
14.214.5
Auto7.6
Teleop9.3
End3.9
Third
24.42.4
14.817.2
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End3.8
red by 5.0
4408
#21
19.40.4
13.513.9
Auto0.9
Teleop13.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned12%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed