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Red80
295933.8
335735.9
550232.4
Blue91
6830.2
547320.2
567419.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12583501001502008091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.90.6
34.433.8
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End5.8
red by 5.7
68
#15
30.20.0
30.430.4
Auto10.0
Teleop16.5
End3.8
Second
33.80.6
32.231.6
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End4.6
red by 13.6
5473
#10
20.20.0
20.420.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.3
Third
5502
#19
32.40.6
30.930.3
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End9.9
red by 12.6
5674
#31
19.80.0
19.919.9
Auto3.3
Teleop12.4
End4.0