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Red91
365532.9
438132.2
421629.0
Blue97
423730.7
562324.3
518226.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122101501502009197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#16
32.90.7
33.632.9
Auto10.2
Teleop18.9
End3.8
red by 2.2
4237
#12
30.70.1
31.331.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End7.3
Second
32.20.7
32.932.2
Auto8.8
Teleop18.1
End5.3
red by 5.4
5182
#18
26.80.1
27.327.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End6.3
Third
4216
#20
29.00.7
29.829.0
Auto7.8
Teleop17.9
End3.2
red by 4.6
24.30.1
24.924.8
Auto7.3
Teleop12.2
End4.9