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Red45
520518.9
518226.8
568827.2
Blue67
550232.4
567620.9
522225.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586401001502002504567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5688
#23
27.21.2
22.321.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.0
End5.3
blue by 5.3
5502
#19
32.40.4
24.124.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End9.9
Second
5182
#18
26.81.3
19.718.4
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End6.3
red by 1.1
5222
#13
25.60.4
20.320.7
Auto8.3
Teleop13.5
End3.9
Third
5205
#33
18.91.9
15.513.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End4.4
blue by 2.0
5676
#32
20.90.6
16.817.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed