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Red85
526029.6
150428.3
365532.9
Blue86
508427.8
6830.2
567620.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76702040601001208586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#16
32.90.8
29.230.0
Auto10.2
Teleop18.9
End3.8
red by 2.6
68
#15
30.21.1
25.927.0
Auto10.0
Teleop16.5
End3.8
Second
5260
#27
29.60.8
24.425.2
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End3.9
red by 1.8
27.81.1
26.127.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Third
1504
#24
28.31.3
19.620.9
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End5.5
red by 7.4
5676
#32
20.91.9
16.918.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed