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Red80
568827.2
150227.1
438132.2
Blue89
335735.9
124322.8
567620.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908040601001201408089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.4
31.431.0
Auto8.8
Teleop18.1
End5.3
blue by 3.7
35.90.3
32.332.0
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End5.8
Second
5688
#23
27.20.4
24.123.7
Auto3.9
Teleop18.0
End5.3
red by 4.3
1243
#34
22.80.3
23.623.2
Auto9.8
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Third
1502
#22
27.10.4
30.530.1
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End4.4
red by 6.2
5676
#32
20.90.5
23.222.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed