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Red81
555919.7
477621.7
562324.3
Blue75
456820.3
295933.8
523120.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628320401001201408175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.2
23.925.1
Auto7.3
Teleop12.2
End4.9
blue by 9.4
33.80.2
34.934.7
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End4.6
Second
4776
#28
21.71.6
20.522.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End2.9
red by 1.3
5231
#25
20.40.2
21.921.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End3.8
Third
5559
#29
19.71.6
18.720.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End3.5
blue by 0.6
4568
#39
20.30.2
20.720.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed