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Red100
124322.8
261130.3
365532.9
Blue81
261235.1
477621.7
421629.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8395406010012014010081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#16
32.91.2
31.833.0
Auto10.2
Teleop18.9
End3.8
blue by 2.3
35.10.9
37.936.9
Auto11.1
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Second
2611
#11
30.31.2
29.530.6
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.6
red by 1.3
4216
#20
29.01.3
30.329.0
Auto7.8
Teleop17.9
End3.2
Third
1243
#34
22.81.2
21.422.6
Auto9.8
Teleop11.2
End1.8
red by 1.1
4776
#28
21.71.2
22.120.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed