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Red52
295933.8
567419.8
440815.9
Blue99
528223.0
550232.4
568827.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73790501001505299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.81.3
33.331.9
Auto8.0
Teleop21.2
End4.6
red by 1.4
5502
#19
32.41.5
29.130.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End9.9
Second
5674
#31
19.81.3
21.320.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.4
End4.0
blue by 7.4
5688
#23
27.21.5
25.627.2
Auto3.9
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Third
4408
#40
15.91.3
17.215.9
Auto1.6
Teleop11.3
End3.1
blue by 7.1
5282
#35
23.01.5
21.523.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed