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Red141
523423.3
522225.6
526029.6
Blue87
261130.3
546040.2
523827.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8712505010015020014187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#27
29.60.3
29.729.9
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End3.9
blue by 10.6
40.20.6
39.538.8
Auto8.4
Teleop22.9
End8.9
Second
5222
#13
25.60.3
25.726.0
Auto8.3
Teleop13.5
End3.9
blue by 4.7
2611
#11
30.30.6
29.629.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.6
Third
5234
#14
23.30.3
23.423.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End3.3
blue by 4.5
5238
#17
27.80.6
27.126.5
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End3.6