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Red132
523423.3
522225.6
526029.6
Blue163
261130.3
546040.2
523827.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88123050150200250300132163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#27
29.60.1
29.930.0
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End3.9
blue by 10.6
40.20.5
38.839.4
Auto8.4
Teleop22.9
End8.9
Second
5222
#13
25.60.1
26.026.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.5
End3.9
blue by 4.7
2611
#11
30.30.5
29.029.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.6
Third
5234
#14
23.30.1
23.623.7
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End3.3
blue by 4.5
5238
#17
27.80.5
26.527.0
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End3.6