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Red172
2743.1
102341.6
590722.6
Blue104
125029.6
505036.0
506621.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13310550150200172104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
43.10.4
42.643.0
Auto12.3
Teleop24.4
End6.5
red by 7.1
36.00.1
36.336.2
Auto8.2
Teleop21.6
End6.3
Second
41.60.4
41.141.4
Auto9.2
Teleop23.5
End8.9
red by 12.0
29.60.1
29.929.8
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End4.5
Third
5907
#21
22.60.4
22.022.4
Auto7.8
Teleop11.1
End3.6
red by 1.1
5066
#31
21.50.1
21.821.7
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End3.4