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Red141
125029.6
505036.0
506621.5
Blue108
30224.3
341425.8
31426.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11493406080100120140160141108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.2
36.536.7
Auto8.2
Teleop21.6
End6.3
red by 9.1
314
#29
26.90.1
27.327.4
Auto5.9
Teleop16.7
End4.2
Second
29.60.2
30.130.3
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End4.5
red by 3.9
3414
#13
25.80.1
26.226.3
Auto9.4
Teleop13.8
End2.6
Third
5066
#31
21.50.2
22.022.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End3.4
blue by 2.8
302
#26
24.30.1
24.724.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End7.8