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Red84
514420.3
54837.0
262024.6
Blue93
30826.6
354832.6
30224.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696840506080908493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#8
37.01.2
34.135.3
Auto9.0
Teleop22.3
End5.7
red by 4.4
3548
#12
32.61.8
30.332.1
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End5.6
Second
2620
#15
24.62.0
17.119.1
Auto8.2
Teleop13.3
End3.1
blue by 2.0
308
#7
26.61.8
19.421.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.8
End4.1
Third
5144
#18
20.32.0
15.117.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.4
End3.4
blue by 4.0
302
#26
24.32.9
16.919.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed