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Red86
118824.2
553120.6
125029.6
Blue64
553318.5
354227.4
615216.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66490204060801008664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.9
24.625.6
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End4.5
red by 2.2
3542
#20
27.41.6
21.222.8
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End4.5
Second
24.20.9
18.619.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End4.8
red by 5.8
5533
#39
18.51.6
17.819.3
Auto9.0
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Third
5531
#24
20.61.6
18.520.1
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End2.9
red by 4.4
6152
#22
16.20.9
10.911.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned27%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed