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Red84
585321.8
50333.8
440514.7
Blue81
619029.4
354227.4
553021.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67782040601001208481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
33.80.8
33.234.1
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End7.0
red by 4.3
29.40.6
29.730.3
Auto9.0
Teleop15.7
End4.7
Second
5853
#23
21.81.2
21.122.3
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.9
blue by 5.6
3542
#20
27.40.6
23.624.2
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End4.5
Third
4405
#37
14.71.2
12.213.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End2.8
blue by 6.8
5530
#32
21.60.6
21.121.8
Auto2.0
Teleop15.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed