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Red91
102341.6
31426.9
125029.6
Blue62
283231.9
440514.7
553021.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106652040801201409162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.4
40.940.5
Auto9.2
Teleop23.5
End8.9
red by 9.7
2832
#10
31.90.5
31.531.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.0
End6.8
Second
29.60.4
29.228.8
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End4.5
red by 8.1
5530
#32
21.60.6
22.521.9
Auto2.0
Teleop15.3
End4.3
Third
314
#29
26.90.4
26.626.2
Auto5.9
Teleop16.7
End4.2
red by 12.1
4405
#37
14.70.6
15.314.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed