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Red90
125029.6
611619.2
30224.3
Blue78
354832.6
585321.8
619029.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6893204060801001201409078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.4
28.830.1
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End4.5
blue by 3.0
3548
#12
32.60.6
34.133.5
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End5.6
Second
302
#26
24.31.5
23.224.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End7.8
blue by 5.1
29.40.7
30.129.4
Auto9.0
Teleop15.7
End4.7
Third
6116
#35
19.21.5
17.719.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End3.4
blue by 2.6
5853
#23
21.80.6
22.521.8
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed