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Red115
295938.7
50339.8
524722.1
Blue123
550534.4
353537.3
283230.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128129110120140150115123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#1
39.80.1
39.939.8
Auto11.1
Teleop18.3
End10.3
red by 2.5
37.30.1
37.437.3
Auto10.0
Teleop21.2
End6.1
Second
38.70.1
38.938.7
Auto7.6
Teleop24.5
End6.7
red by 4.3
5505
#12
34.40.1
34.534.4
Auto8.3
Teleop20.4
End5.8
Third
5247
#21
22.10.1
22.222.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End3.0
blue by 8.6
2832
#22
30.70.1
30.830.7
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8