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Red96
523035.3
439228.4
570219.3
Blue120
361832.0
571230.8
611325.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9511205015020096120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.1
34.134.3
Auto7.6
Teleop23.6
End4.1
red by 3.4
3618
#18
32.00.3
32.132.4
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Second
28.40.1
27.227.4
Auto9.7
Teleop14.7
End4.0
blue by 2.4
30.80.3
31.031.2
Auto11.3
Teleop15.4
End4.1
Third
5702
#31
19.30.1
18.118.3
Auto6.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
blue by 5.7
6113
#32
25.10.3
25.225.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.2
End4.6