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Red121
523035.3
439228.4
570219.3
Blue106
361832.0
571230.8
611325.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97112050150200250121106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.4
34.735.1
Auto7.6
Teleop23.6
End4.1
red by 3.4
3618
#18
32.00.2
32.132.0
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Second
28.40.4
27.828.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.7
End4.0
blue by 2.4
30.80.2
30.930.8
Auto11.3
Teleop15.4
End4.1
Third
5702
#31
19.30.4
18.719.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
blue by 5.7
6113
#32
25.10.2
25.225.1
Auto7.3
Teleop13.2
End4.6