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Red84
471524.4
566128.4
159631.2
Blue97
50339.8
607124.5
598924.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718240601001201408497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#14
31.20.9
27.928.7
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.1
blue by 8.5
503
#1
39.80.6
34.735.3
Auto11.1
Teleop18.3
End10.3
Second
28.40.9
22.723.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.8
End3.6
red by 4.0
6071
#25
24.50.6
20.220.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End3.3
Third
4715
#28
24.40.9
20.321.2
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End4.3
red by 0.4
5989
#30
24.00.6
23.424.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed