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Red77
437733.1
611325.1
361733.0
Blue99
439527.0
50339.8
439228.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88860501001502002507799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#13
33.10.5
32.531.9
Auto8.7
Teleop17.4
End7.0
blue by 6.7
503
#1
39.81.0
35.236.2
Auto11.1
Teleop18.3
End10.3
Second
3617
#10
33.00.5
29.228.6
Auto11.1
Teleop14.2
End7.7
red by 4.6
28.41.0
27.228.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.7
End4.0
Third
6113
#32
25.10.5
23.523.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.2
End4.6
blue by 2.0
4395
#27
27.01.7
21.523.1
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned