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Red99
608826.2
224613.2
50339.8
Blue79
553520.4
531421.0
353537.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727640506080901001109979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#1
39.81.2
36.237.5
Auto11.1
Teleop18.3
End10.3
red by 2.5
37.30.1
35.135.1
Auto10.0
Teleop21.2
End6.1
Second
6088
#20
26.21.2
19.220.4
Auto7.8
Teleop14.4
End4.0
red by 5.1
5314
#36
21.00.1
17.918.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.2
Third
2246
#40
13.22.1
15.117.1
Auto6.4
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 7.2
5535
#34
20.40.1
20.020.1
Auto4.4
Teleop12.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed