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Red85
523035.3
132226.3
571230.8
Blue80
439228.4
570619.9
471524.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94612040801201401608580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.1
34.033.9
Auto7.6
Teleop23.6
End4.1
red by 6.9
28.40.7
28.228.9
Auto9.7
Teleop14.7
End4.0
Second
30.80.1
32.232.2
Auto11.3
Teleop15.4
End4.1
red by 6.3
4715
#28
24.40.7
22.823.5
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End4.3
Third
1322
#23
26.30.1
20.020.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End5.6
red by 6.4
5706
#33
19.90.7
13.514.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed