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Red79
353537.3
598924.0
437523.9
Blue88
224613.2
523035.3
505332.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848479818283858687887988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.1
35.135.0
Auto10.0
Teleop21.2
End6.1
red by 1.9
35.30.4
33.934.4
Auto7.6
Teleop23.6
End4.1
Second
5989
#30
24.00.1
24.324.2
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End4.3
blue by 8.8
32.80.4
30.230.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End4.3
Third
4375
#15
23.90.1
21.821.6
Auto9.4
Teleop11.4
End3.1
red by 10.6
2246
#40
13.20.7
17.117.9
Auto6.4
Teleop6.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed