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Red96
571413.6
477929.8
607724.6
Blue89
439527.0
471524.4
24721.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62662040801009689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#16
29.82.0
28.330.3
Auto9.7
Teleop14.8
End5.3
red by 2.8
4395
#27
27.01.7
22.824.5
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End5.3
Second
6077
#19
24.63.4
20.323.7
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End3.0
red by 0.2
4715
#28
24.41.0
23.524.6
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End4.3
Third
5714
#41
13.63.4
12.215.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End2.3
blue by 7.8
247
#38
21.51.0
17.118.2
Auto4.4
Teleop14.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed