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Red76
482726.8
361832.0
439228.4
Blue48
566128.4
571413.6
439527.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93652040801001201407648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3618
#18
32.00.7
33.532.8
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End3.1
red by 3.5
28.41.6
27.525.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.8
End3.6
Second
28.40.7
28.127.4
Auto9.7
Teleop14.7
End4.0
red by 1.4
4395
#27
27.02.5
24.522.0
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End5.3
Third
26.80.7
24.323.7
Auto9.2
Teleop13.9
End3.7
red by 13.1
5714
#41
13.62.5
15.513.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed