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Red107
511023.7
50339.8
295938.7
Blue65
554726.3
607724.6
569225.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027340608012014016010765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#1
39.80.5
38.539.0
Auto11.1
Teleop18.3
End10.3
red by 13.5
5547
#26
26.30.7
24.323.7
Auto8.8
Teleop13.0
End4.5
Second
38.70.5
38.939.4
Auto7.6
Teleop24.5
End6.7
red by 13.0
5692
#24
25.80.7
27.226.5
Auto7.0
Teleop14.0
End4.8
Third
5110
#17
23.70.7
17.618.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End5.2
blue by 0.9
6077
#19
24.61.1
23.722.6
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed