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Red91
283230.7
608826.2
607724.6
Blue98
132226.3
437733.1
598924.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79796070901001109198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#22
30.71.0
30.631.6
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
blue by 2.4
4377
#13
33.11.4
32.333.7
Auto8.7
Teleop17.4
End7.0
Second
6088
#20
26.21.0
23.224.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.4
End4.0
blue by 0.2
1322
#23
26.31.4
21.022.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End5.6
Third
6077
#19
24.61.4
22.624.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End3.0
red by 0.5
5989
#30
24.01.4
23.825.2
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed