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Red60
437733.1
439228.4
224613.2
Blue116
477929.8
361733.0
437523.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81845060709010011012013060116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#13
33.11.6
33.732.0
Auto8.7
Teleop17.4
End7.0
red by 0.1
3617
#10
33.00.7
29.029.7
Auto11.1
Teleop14.2
End7.7
Second
28.41.6
28.827.1
Auto9.7
Teleop14.7
End4.0
blue by 1.4
4779
#16
29.80.7
29.430.1
Auto9.7
Teleop14.8
End5.3
Third
2246
#40
13.22.2
17.014.8
Auto6.4
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 10.6
4375
#15
23.90.7
22.623.3
Auto9.4
Teleop11.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned