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Red83
608719.1
283230.7
477929.8
Blue89
607124.5
505332.8
439228.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions838940601001201408389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#22
30.70.3
32.332.0
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
blue by 2.1
32.80.1
33.933.8
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End4.3
Second
4779
#16
29.80.3
30.129.8
Auto9.7
Teleop14.8
End5.3
red by 1.4
28.40.1
27.127.0
Auto9.7
Teleop14.7
End4.0
Third
6087
#35
19.10.3
19.619.3
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End2.8
blue by 5.4
6071
#25
24.50.1
25.024.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed