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Red164
550534.4
353537.3
283230.7
Blue84
523035.3
439228.4
570219.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359405015020016484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.2
37.537.8
Auto10.0
Teleop21.2
End6.1
red by 1.9
35.30.0
35.135.1
Auto7.6
Teleop23.6
End4.1
Second
5505
#12
34.40.2
34.734.9
Auto8.3
Teleop20.4
End5.8
red by 6.0
28.40.0
28.228.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.7
End4.0
Third
2832
#22
30.70.2
31.031.2
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
red by 11.4
5702
#31
19.30.0
19.119.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8