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Red173
102533.3
609835.8
609030.8
Blue106
504828.3
504633.7
608526.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191096080100140160180173106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.3
35.035.3
Auto12.1
Teleop16.8
End6.9
red by 2.1
33.70.1
33.733.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
Second
1025
#17
33.30.3
32.532.8
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
red by 5.0
5048
#10
28.30.1
28.328.2
Auto8.7
Teleop13.9
End5.6
Third
6090
#18
30.80.3
30.030.4
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End5.8
red by 3.9
6085
#16
26.90.1
26.926.8
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End4.2