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Red65
586027.1
602026.7
609115.0
Blue78
516731.6
520116.8
515620.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587302040801001206578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5860
#31
27.10.4
25.025.5
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End4.7
blue by 4.5
31.60.6
31.131.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End5.0
Second
6020
#12
26.70.4
19.920.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End6.1
red by 6.5
5156
#37
20.10.6
21.322.0
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Third
6091
#38
15.00.7
13.714.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 1.9
5201
#36
16.80.6
16.517.1
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed