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Red51
515620.1
601920.1
561227.5
Blue82
602026.7
609030.8
126.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64692040801005182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#23
27.50.8
24.523.7
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End4.1
blue by 3.4
6090
#18
30.81.2
21.823.0
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End5.8
Second
5156
#37
20.10.8
22.021.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8
blue by 6.5
6020
#12
26.70.7
20.321.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End6.1
Third
6019
#32
20.11.3
16.415.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End4.0
blue by 6.0
1
#28
26.00.7
24.124.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed