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Red83
260419.7
609030.8
499427.4
Blue73
477928.0
436822.3
602026.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61682040801001208373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#18
30.82.5
23.025.6
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End5.8
red by 2.8
4779
#14
28.00.5
23.824.3
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End4.8
Second
4994
#21
27.41.5
22.023.5
Auto5.1
Teleop17.9
End4.4
red by 0.7
6020
#12
26.70.5
21.021.6
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End6.1
Third
19.71.5
15.116.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End3.8
blue by 2.6
4368
#19
22.30.5
20.020.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed