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Red92
584328.4
586027.1
608526.9
Blue84
515537.7
521416.9
609030.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83792040601001201401609284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.8
27.928.7
Auto9.8
Teleop14.2
End4.4
blue by 9.3
37.70.5
34.234.6
Auto11.6
Teleop20.0
End6.1
Second
5860
#31
27.10.8
27.127.8
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End4.7
blue by 3.8
6090
#18
30.80.7
25.526.2
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End5.8
Third
6085
#16
26.90.8
25.326.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End4.2
red by 10.0
5214
#34
16.90.5
17.517.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed