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Red65
499810.9
612024.3
504633.7
Blue62
501712.7
366728.3
601920.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696202040801001201406562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.1
35.635.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
red by 5.4
3667
#25
28.30.3
28.428.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.1
End5.3
Second
6120
#27
24.30.1
21.621.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End6.0
red by 4.2
6019
#32
20.10.4
19.018.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End4.0
Third
4998
#39
10.90.1
9.08.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End-0.4
blue by 1.8
5017
#40
12.70.3
13.713.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed63%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed