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Red75
504633.7
436822.3
609835.8
Blue60
516731.6
578424.4
586027.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928540601001201401607560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.9
31.931.0
Auto12.1
Teleop16.8
End6.9
red by 4.2
31.61.9
32.730.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End5.0
Second
33.70.9
35.534.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
red by 6.6
5860
#31
27.11.9
27.825.9
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End4.7
Third
4368
#19
22.30.9
21.120.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End4.2
blue by 2.1
5784
#26
24.41.9
23.321.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsMissed94%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed