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Red98
566020.6
213739.6
561227.5
Blue64
609325.0
586027.1
610815.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9070204060801001201409864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.9
38.739.6
Auto13.6
Teleop20.2
End5.8
red by 12.5
5860
#31
27.10.8
26.826.0
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End4.7
Second
5612
#23
27.50.9
26.627.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End4.1
red by 2.5
6093
#22
25.01.0
25.224.2
Auto9.3
Teleop12.1
End3.6
Third
5660
#30
20.60.9
19.520.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.4
red by 5.1
6108
#33
15.51.0
18.918.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed