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Red79
21739.8
413030.1
366728.3
Blue88
477928.0
516731.6
566020.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107740601001201401601807988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
39.81.6
40.839.2
Auto9.0
Teleop22.5
End8.4
red by 8.2
31.60.2
31.531.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End5.0
Second
4130
#15
30.11.6
31.630.1
Auto8.3
Teleop16.4
End5.4
red by 2.1
4779
#14
28.00.2
27.828.0
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End4.8
Third
3667
#25
28.31.6
29.828.3
Auto7.9
Teleop15.1
End5.3
red by 7.7
5660
#30
20.60.2
20.420.6
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned