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Red125
571229.9
361836.2
519320.9
Blue114
556124.9
544727.0
542427.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11110080120140160125114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.3
36.536.8
Auto11.0
Teleop21.2
End4.1
red by 8.3
5424
#16
27.90.1
27.827.9
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End6.3
Second
29.90.3
30.330.5
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End5.1
red by 2.9
5447
#11
27.00.1
26.927.0
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End3.9
Third
5193
#22
20.90.3
20.821.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End4.0
blue by 4.0
5561
#15
24.90.1
24.824.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End5.4